In a last ditch effort, Clinton supporters have been advancing for weeks now an argument that supers should hand Clinton the nomination because she performs better in certain swing states.

And it's true, that, as of late, Clinton has an edge over Obama in traditional swing states such as Ohio and especially Florida.

Too bad we can't take a snapshot of these polls and travel in time to November and win the election.

First of all, I see the better numbers Clinton enjoys in some states and nationally (sometimes) as a result of the heat being taken off her and put on Obama as far as vetting, gaffes, etc, goes. For the better part of the year, Obama performed consistently better in these polls, now he's at parity or slightly behind.

Is it a coincidence that Obama's edge in swing states has dipped and Clinton's has risen as he's taken on the role of presumptive nominee? McCain and Republican attacks are trained solely on Obama, at the same time Clinton is hitting him.

But, for the sake of argument, let's assume for the course of this diary these numbers hold up when the spotlight turns back on Clinton.

Let's think about what happens to get Clinton the nomination.

Sometime between now and the convention, Clinton is successful in convincing the remaining superdelegates to take an unprecedented step in modern political history and hand her the nomination. Now I realize that according to the rules they "can" do this, but the question to ask is what happens if they do. In doing so, they would overrule the pledged delegate leader, not to mention first AA candidate in history and the guy who has brought so many new voters into the process.

Now I understand Clinton's run is also historic. And I understand Clinton supporters will be unhappy when Obama clinches the nomination; indeed, I'd argue this unhappiness is largely present in the polls. But, whichever side you are on, it's hard to argue that Obama's nomination isn't largely expected at this point. As the pledged delegate leader, and the popular vote leader as well by most counts, he has by far the most legitimate claim to the nomination.

But can you imagine the uproar were the supers to hand the nomination to Clinton? Quite frankly, if you expect the numbers Clinton currently enjoys to hold up then, you are dreaming.

AA voters are crucial to Dem victory in many states. After this tumultuous primary season with accusations of race baiting flying either way, it's easy to imagine those people staying home or voting for the Green party in large numbers, even being disenfranchised from the Democratic party for good. For the young voters and Dem-leaning independents, Clinton's nomination would be nothing less than confirmation that the Dem process is stacked in favor of the establishment. Imagine those voters that were drawn into the party staying home or voting Nader in protest.

In other words, in making the case for her electability, the burden is on Clinton supporters to do more than point to a handful of polls this far out in the cycle. They need to paint a convincing path to the nomination for her that doesn't involve a total implosion of the Democratic party.